Wednesday, April 21, 2010

4 Questions (Confrence Expansion)

1. Will Texas join the Big 10?

No. Texas makes enough money and revenue in the Big 12 already (highest total athletic department revenue in football at $120,288,370), and expansion and conference alignment is all about money. The one thing that the Big 10 would provide for Texas is an individual broadcasting network in the Big 10 Network. Rumor is though; Texas is leading the way for a Big 12 Network, or looking to create their own.

If and when the Big 10 expands, it will be in search of money and no better place would be the New York area. New York has seen some football in Rutgers, but brining big time college football to the largest city in the United States in New York screams big time money. That means Rutgers, Connecticut and Pittsburgh are all options.

Pitt could be the answer for the Big 10


2. Could a Super-conference form?

No, not now. A 16-team plus conference would answer all the questions to the BCS and creating revenue for the money hunger industry, but it’s not an option just yet. The Big 12, Big 10 and Big East feel as if there content with the current situation on the BCS landscape and where there conferences are at, but facing the facts the SEC is separating themselves from everyone else (4 national championships in a row.) Expansions are on the horizon except look for it at a smaller level.

The real answer for programs like Boise State, Utah, BYU and TCU, would be the formation of their own super conference.

3. Who will be the most affected from the expansion?

Up front, almost everyone could benefit from expansions and re alignment, however the Big East will lose out. A conference already hampered from the ACC’s 2004 expansion in which they swayed Virginia Tech and Miami to the join a conference with a championship game, the Big East could lose out again to the Big 10. Rutgers, Connecticut and Pittsburgh could all leave, which would force the Big East to add schools. The top candidates would have to be Memphis and UCF, which would open up new markets in Orlando and Memphis, but the drop off in athletics would hurt.

4. What happens out West?

Utah joins the Pac-10. Pac-10 officials will have to play catch up just like everyone else, and the answer is Utah. Boise State seems to be the obvious choice, but Boise just isn’t ready. Not enough talent and prospects come from the state to support a Pac-10 program, plus Boise isn’t to strong in other sports. Utah brings in a Salt Lake City network that supports and follows a Utah program that has been consistent over the years. A media market such as Salt Lake is the perfect answer for the Pac-10; it brings in money and an up and coming athletic department.

Bonus: Does the SEC make any changes?

No. The SEC is sitting in prime position to keep making money. Eight of the conference’s twelve athletic departments all rank in the top-25 in revenue generated from athletics. The SEC has its own network in The SEC on ESPN, and is the model for every other conference. Don’t expect changes from The SEC anytime soon.

Consider this:

The last big conference expansion was the 2004 ACC expansion, in which Boston College, Miami and Virginia Tech was brought in. What people don’t know is Virginia Tech was almost Syracuse. Basketball fans would have loved the move, but it wouldn’t have translated too well on a football level. Virginia Tech has played for the ACC championship game three times since the expansion, where as Syracuse is 14-45 since 2005 and hasn’t made a bowl game. What a move by the ACC.


-A. Ivins

No comments:

Post a Comment