Wednesday, March 17, 2010

A 12 seed over a 5 seed?

The most exciting two days of basketball are almost upon us, but most people are still filling out brackets (including myself).

Of course with march madness there is always luck. Hey this year St. Patty's day is the day before. Everyone knows there will be upsets when it comes to March and if you caught the NIT (Not In Tournament) last night you saw a 1-seeded host team lost to a 8 seed, which is the equivalent to Lehigh taking down Kentucky tomorrow night.

Everybody automatically likes to chose the 12 seeds upsetting the 5 seeds, but lets look at what has happened the past 3-years in the tournament.

  • 7 12-seeds have upset 5-seeds

  • 6 11-seeds have upset 6-seeds

  • 4 13-seeds have upset 4 seeds

Taking these numbers into consideration, you should really have two 12-seeds upsetting 5-seeds, one to two 11-seeds upsetting 6-seeds and one 13 beating a 4-seed.

This morning on the radio, a cleaning lady had a Final-Four of; 10-seeded Florida, 14-seeded Ohio (yes Ohio not Ohio St.), 3-seeded Baylor and 10-seeded Missouri winning it all.

The problem with people picking upsets like mentioned above is that they get "upset" happy. Following these numbers hopefully you wont end up with a Final Four full of bubble teams who should have been playing last night.

Listed bellow is a break down of the potential "upsets"....

5. Michigan State vs 12. New Mexico State- 7:20 pm Spokane Fri.

New Mexico winners of the WAC tournament make it here with a 21-11 record with the best win against Utah State. However the Aggies have dropped games to, UCLA, New Mexico (2),Saint Mary's and UTEP. I don't really like the Aggies in this game and would suggest looking elsewhere for an upset. -A. Ivins likes Meatchicken State

5. Butler vs 12. UTEP- 4:45 San Jose Thur.

UTEP was ridding a 16-game winning streak before falling to Houston in the conference final. Butler has won 20-games in a row dominating there conference and conference tournament. However Butler has played three tournament teams at neutral sites and is 0-3 against them. -A. Ivins likes UTEP

5. Temple vs 12. Cornell- 12:20 Jacksonville Fri.

Cornell is the "sexy" pick for most. An IVY league school with a 27-4 record almost beating number 1-seeded Kansas, is appealing to most, but people don't realize what Temple has done. Temple comes out of the Atlantic-10, a very underrated conference, and has wins over 2-seeded Villanova, 6-seeded Xavier and a 1-point loss to 3-seeded Georgetown. - A. Ivins likes Temple. First off my boss is a Cornell grad, i don't like him, therefor i don't like Cornell. I see Temple as a Sweet 16 threat.

5. Texas A&M vs 12. Utah State- 4:45 Spokane Fri.

First off, i really like Texas A&M, but Utah State is a very solid team. Utah State is another 12-seeded WAC team who doesn't have a big "it" win but where ridding a 16-game win streak until being upset in the conference tournament final. -A. Ivins likes Utah State. Last year i was in Reno skiing and ran into tons of Utah State fans there for the conference tournament. They support this team and will be in force up in Spokane. Texas A&M appears to be just a year away.

In the other upsets: A. Ivins likes 11-seeded Washington over Marquette, 11-seeded Old Dominion over Notre Dame, and 13-seeded Sienna over Purdue

-A Ivins

No comments:

Post a Comment